教學大綱與進度

課程基本資料：

學年期	課號	課程名稱	階段	學分	時數	修	教師	班級	人	撤	備註
111-1	304868	決策分析	1	3.0	3	★	梁曉帆	工管三甲 工管三乙	35	0	工管三甲乙丙合開 限 45人

教學大綱與進度：

教師姓名	梁曉帆　教師諮商時間(Office Hours)
Email	maxliang@ntut.edu.tw
最後更新時間	2022-06-23 11:20:00
課程大綱	This course provides an overview of the basic concepts of decision theory and their applications on the real-world decision problems. Students will learn about the identification and modeling of decision problems, the modeling and estimation of uncertainties, and the modeling and evaluation of preferences.
課程進度	Week 1: Introduction Week 2: Elements of decision problems Week 3: Structuring decisions Week 4: Making choices Week 5: Sensitivity analysis Week 6: Creativity and decision making Week 7: Probability basics Week 8: Subjective probability Week 9: Mid-term exam Week 10: Theoretical probability models Week 11: Using data Week 12: Monte Carlo simulation/Value of Information Week 13: Risk attitudes Week 14: Utility axioms, paradoxes, and implications Week 15: Conflicting objectives I Week 16: Conflicting objectives II Week 17: Wrap-up Week 18: Final exam
評量方式與標準	Mid-term exam: 25% Final exam: 25% Homework and Participation: 50%
使用教材、參考書目或其他	【遵守智慧財產權觀念，請使用正版教科書，不得使用非法影印教科書】 使用外文原文書：是 Making hard decisions with DeccisionTools (2001) by Clemen and Reilly, Duxbury (雙葉)
課程諮詢管道	maxliang@ntut.edu.tw
備註	Microsoft Teams